Simulate reliability under [ScenarioCount] disruption scenarios relevant to [Region] and [DisruptionType] (e.g., carrier strike, extreme weather, cyber outage). Define fallback routings, mode shifts, and capacity substitutions using [AltCarriers], bounded by a mitigation budget of [BudgetCap] over [TimeHorizonWeeks].
Output format:
Scenario comparison table with columns: Scenario, Expected OTIF, Lead Time p90, Cost/Shipment, Capacity Risk, Stockout Risk, Recommendation.
Decision tree with activation triggers and threshold KPIs.
Reliability playbook: step-by-step actions, owners, and timelines.
Post-event measurement plan to validate assumptions.
Include risk-adjusted ROI for each scenario and specify data prerequisites.